Photovoltaic waste assessment: Forecasting and screening of emerging waste in Australia

Mahmoudi, S; Huda, N; Behnia, M

Photovoltaic waste assessment: Forecasting and screening of emerging waste in Australia

Mahmoudi, S Huda, N Behnia, M

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Publisher:: ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
Publication Type:: Journal Article
Citation:: Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2019, 146, (Prog. Photovolt. Res. Appl. 21 6 2013), pp. 192-205
Issue Date:: 2019-07-01

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Field	Value	Language
dc.contributor.author	Mahmoudi, S
dc.contributor.author	Huda, N
dc.contributor.author	Behnia, M
dc.date.accessioned	2020-05-09T05:20:08Z
dc.date.available	2020-05-09T05:20:08Z
dc.date.issued	2019-07-01
dc.identifier.citation	Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 2019, 146, (Prog. Photovolt. Res. Appl. 21 6 2013), pp. 192-205
dc.identifier.issn	0921-3449
dc.identifier.issn	1879-0658
dc.identifier.uri	http://hdl.handle.net/10453/140599
dc.description.abstract	© 2019 Elsevier B.V. Australia has to meet the challenges of End-of-Life treatment of photovoltaic modules in coming years due to rapid growth of photovoltaic capacity during the last decades. This paper contributes towards the sustainable management of decommissioned solar panels through the estimation of PV waste flow between the years 2031–2047 based on the actual installation of the PV modules from 2001 to 2018, and the provision of a forecasting model applying on four major scenarios to project the waste generated from 2048–2060. Assuming three forecasting schemes, and consistent annual-growth-rate of PV installation for each scenario, the future PV waste was quantified. Considering the PV installation from 2001 to 2018, the cumulative waste is estimated to be 0.8 million tonnes until 2047. The mainstream of the waste is estimated to be glass and aluminium with 541,209 and 116,483 tonnes respectively, followed by 8375 tonnes of copper and 71,329 tonnes of steel. The PV waste includes various valuable substances which, if appropriately recycled, can bring significant economic benefit. With regards to all PV penetration scenarios in the electricity generation market until 2030, Australia is estimated to face around 1–8 million tonnes of decommissioned PV until 2060. The recovery of the EoL PV raw materials can lead to value creation of nearly 1.2 billion dollars. These findings can shed light on the possibility of a circular economy and suggest an active contribution of all parties and a very well-planned coordinated approach prevent the potential environmental impacts and maximize resource efficiency.
dc.language	English
dc.publisher	ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
dc.relation.ispartof	Resources, Conservation and Recycling
dc.relation.isbasedon	10.1016/j.resconrec.2019.03.039
dc.rights	info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess
dc.subject	05 Environmental Sciences, 09 Engineering, 12 Built Environment and Design
dc.subject.classification	Environmental Sciences
dc.title	Photovoltaic waste assessment: Forecasting and screening of emerging waste in Australia
dc.type	Journal Article
utslib.citation.volume	146
utslib.for	05 Environmental Sciences
utslib.for	09 Engineering
utslib.for	12 Built Environment and Design
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney
utslib.copyright.status	closed_access	*
dc.date.updated	2020-05-09T05:20:06Z
pubs.issue	Prog. Photovolt. Res. Appl. 21 6 2013
pubs.publication-status	Published
pubs.volume	146
utslib.start-page	192
utslib.citation.issue	Prog. Photovolt. Res. Appl. 21 6 2013

Abstract:

© 2019 Elsevier B.V. Australia has to meet the challenges of End-of-Life treatment of photovoltaic modules in coming years due to rapid growth of photovoltaic capacity during the last decades. This paper contributes towards the sustainable management of decommissioned solar panels through the estimation of PV waste flow between the years 2031–2047 based on the actual installation of the PV modules from 2001 to 2018, and the provision of a forecasting model applying on four major scenarios to project the waste generated from 2048–2060. Assuming three forecasting schemes, and consistent annual-growth-rate of PV installation for each scenario, the future PV waste was quantified. Considering the PV installation from 2001 to 2018, the cumulative waste is estimated to be 0.8 million tonnes until 2047. The mainstream of the waste is estimated to be glass and aluminium with 541,209 and 116,483 tonnes respectively, followed by 8375 tonnes of copper and 71,329 tonnes of steel. The PV waste includes various valuable substances which, if appropriately recycled, can bring significant economic benefit. With regards to all PV penetration scenarios in the electricity generation market until 2030, Australia is estimated to face around 1–8 million tonnes of decommissioned PV until 2060. The recovery of the EoL PV raw materials can lead to value creation of nearly 1.2 billion dollars. These findings can shed light on the possibility of a circular economy and suggest an active contribution of all parties and a very well-planned coordinated approach prevent the potential environmental impacts and maximize resource efficiency.

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http://hdl.handle.net/10453/140599