Long term forecasting of natural gas production

Mohr, SH; Evans, GM

Long term forecasting of natural gas production

Mohr, SH Evans, GM

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Publication Type:: Journal Article
Citation:: Energy Policy, 2011, 39 (9), pp. 5550 - 5560
Issue Date:: 2011-09-01

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Field	Value	Language
dc.contributor.author	Mohr, SH	en_US
dc.contributor.author	Evans, GM	en_US
dc.date.issued	2011-09-01	en_US
dc.identifier.citation	Energy Policy, 2011, 39 (9), pp. 5550 - 5560	en_US
dc.identifier.issn	0301-4215	en_US
dc.identifier.uri	http://hdl.handle.net/10453/18079
dc.description.abstract	Natural gas is an important energy source for power generation, a chemical feedstock and residential usage. It is important to analyse the future production of conventional and unconventional natural gas. Analysis of the literature determined conventional URR estimates of 10,700-18,300. EJ, and the unconventional gas URR estimates were determined to be 4250-11,000. EJ. Six scenarios were assumed, with three static where demand and supply do not interact and three dynamic where it does. The projections indicate that world natural gas production will peak between 2025 and 2066 at 140-217. EJ/y (133-206. tcf/y). Natural gas resources are more abundant than some of the literature indicates. © 2011 Elsevier Ltd.	en_US
dc.relation.ispartof	Energy Policy	en_US
dc.relation.isbasedon	10.1016/j.enpol.2011.04.066	en_US
dc.subject.classification	Energy	en_US
dc.title	Long term forecasting of natural gas production	en_US
dc.type	Journal Article
utslib.citation.volume	9	en_US
utslib.citation.volume	39	en_US
utslib.for	0502 Environmental Science and Management	en_US
pubs.embargo.period	Not known	en_US
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/DVC (Research)
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/DVC (Research)/Institute For Sustainable Futures
utslib.copyright.status	open_access
pubs.issue	9	en_US
pubs.publication-status	Published	en_US
pubs.volume	39	en_US

Abstract:

Natural gas is an important energy source for power generation, a chemical feedstock and residential usage. It is important to analyse the future production of conventional and unconventional natural gas. Analysis of the literature determined conventional URR estimates of 10,700-18,300. EJ, and the unconventional gas URR estimates were determined to be 4250-11,000. EJ. Six scenarios were assumed, with three static where demand and supply do not interact and three dynamic where it does. The projections indicate that world natural gas production will peak between 2025 and 2066 at 140-217. EJ/y (133-206. tcf/y). Natural gas resources are more abundant than some of the literature indicates. © 2011 Elsevier Ltd.

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http://hdl.handle.net/10453/18079