Risk analysis of possible impacts of climate change on South Australian wheat production

Luo, Q; Bellotti, W; Williams, M; Cooper, I; Bryan, B

Risk analysis of possible impacts of climate change on South Australian wheat production

Luo, Q Bellotti, W Williams, M Cooper, I Bryan, B

Permalink

Publication Type:: Journal Article
Citation:: Climatic Change, 2007, 85 (1-2), pp. 89 - 101
Issue Date:: 2007-11-01

Closed Access

	Filename	Description	Size
	2009007703OK.pdf		592.76 kB	Adobe PDF	View/Open

Copyright Clearance Process

Recently Added
In Progress
Closed Access

This item is closed access and not available.

Full metadata record

Field	Value	Language
dc.contributor.author	Luo, Q	en_US
dc.contributor.author	Bellotti, W	en_US
dc.contributor.author	Williams, M	en_US
dc.contributor.author	Cooper, I	en_US
dc.contributor.author	Bryan, B	en_US
dc.date.issued	2007-11-01	en_US
dc.identifier.citation	Climatic Change, 2007, 85 (1-2), pp. 89 - 101	en_US
dc.identifier.issn	0165-0009	en_US
dc.identifier.uri	http://hdl.handle.net/10453/14727
dc.description.abstract	This study presents a model-based risk assessment of wheat production under projected climate change by 2080 in eight locations of South Australia. The vulnerability of wheat production under future climate change was quantitatively evaluated via a risk analysis in which the identification of critical yield thresholds applies. Research results show that risk (conditional probability of not exceeding the critical yield thresholds) increased more or less across all locations under the most likely climate change. Wheat production in drier areas such as Minnipa, Orroroo and Wanbi will not be economically viable under the most likely climate change. Intensive studies on adaptation are now required. © 2007 Springer Science+Business Media, B.V.	en_US
dc.relation.ispartof	Climatic Change	en_US
dc.relation.isbasedon	10.1007/s10584-006-9203-6	en_US
dc.subject.classification	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences	en_US
dc.title	Risk analysis of possible impacts of climate change on South Australian wheat production	en_US
dc.type	Journal Article
utslib.citation.volume	1-2	en_US
utslib.citation.volume	85	en_US
utslib.for	0703 Crop and Pasture Production	en_US
pubs.embargo.period	Not known	en_US
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Faculty of Science
utslib.copyright.status	closed_access
pubs.issue	1-2	en_US
pubs.publication-status	Published	en_US
pubs.volume	85	en_US

Abstract:

This study presents a model-based risk assessment of wheat production under projected climate change by 2080 in eight locations of South Australia. The vulnerability of wheat production under future climate change was quantitatively evaluated via a risk analysis in which the identification of critical yield thresholds applies. Research results show that risk (conditional probability of not exceeding the critical yield thresholds) increased more or less across all locations under the most likely climate change. Wheat production in drier areas such as Minnipa, Orroroo and Wanbi will not be economically viable under the most likely climate change. Intensive studies on adaptation are now required. © 2007 Springer Science+Business Media, B.V.

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:

http://hdl.handle.net/10453/14727