Forecasting coal production until 2100

Mohr, SH; Evans, GM

Forecasting coal production until 2100

Mohr, SH Evans, GM

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Publication Type:: Journal Article
Citation:: Fuel, 2009, 88 (11), pp. 2059 - 2067
Issue Date:: 2009-11-01

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Field	Value	Language
dc.contributor.author	Mohr, SH	en_US
dc.contributor.author	Evans, GM	en_US
dc.date.issued	2009-11-01	en_US
dc.identifier.citation	Fuel, 2009, 88 (11), pp. 2059 - 2067	en_US
dc.identifier.issn	0016-2361	en_US
dc.identifier.uri	http://hdl.handle.net/10453/15252
dc.description.abstract	A model capable of projecting mineral resources production has been developed. The model includes supply and demand interactions, and has been applied to all coal producing countries. A model of worldwide coal production has been developed for three scenarios. The ultimately recoverable resources (URR) estimates used in the scenarios ranged from 700 Gt to 1243 Gt. The model indicates that worldwide coal production will peak between 2010 and 2048 on a mass basis and between 2011 and 2047 on an energy basis. The Best Guess scenario, assumed a URR of 1144 Gt and peaks in 2034 on a mass basis, and in 2026 on an energy basis. © 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.	en_US
dc.relation.ispartof	Fuel	en_US
dc.relation.isbasedon	10.1016/j.fuel.2009.01.032	en_US
dc.subject.classification	Energy	en_US
dc.title	Forecasting coal production until 2100	en_US
dc.type	Journal Article
utslib.citation.volume	11	en_US
utslib.citation.volume	88	en_US
utslib.for	0904 Chemical Engineering	en_US
utslib.for	0306 Physical Chemistry (incl. Structural)	en_US
utslib.for	0913 Mechanical Engineering	en_US
pubs.embargo.period	Not known	en_US
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/DVC (Research)
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/DVC (Research)/Institute For Sustainable Futures
utslib.copyright.status	open_access
pubs.issue	11	en_US
pubs.publication-status	Published	en_US
pubs.volume	88	en_US

Abstract:

A model capable of projecting mineral resources production has been developed. The model includes supply and demand interactions, and has been applied to all coal producing countries. A model of worldwide coal production has been developed for three scenarios. The ultimately recoverable resources (URR) estimates used in the scenarios ranged from 700 Gt to 1243 Gt. The model indicates that worldwide coal production will peak between 2010 and 2048 on a mass basis and between 2011 and 2047 on an energy basis. The Best Guess scenario, assumed a URR of 1144 Gt and peaks in 2034 on a mass basis, and in 2026 on an energy basis. © 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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http://hdl.handle.net/10453/15252