Population, Crime and Courts: Demographic Projections of the Future Workload of the New South Wales Magistracy

Opeskin, B; Parr, N

Population, Crime and Courts: Demographic Projections of the Future Workload of the New South Wales Magistracy

Opeskin, B

Parr, N

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Publisher:: Thomson Reuters
Publication Type:: Journal Article
Citation:: Journal of Judicial Administration, 2014, 23 pp. 233 - 252
Issue Date:: 2014

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Field	Value	Language
dc.contributor.author	Opeskin, B https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9393-3592	en_US
dc.contributor.author	Parr, N	en_US
dc.date.issued	2014	en_US
dc.identifier.citation	Journal of Judicial Administration, 2014, 23 pp. 233 - 252	en_US
dc.identifier.issn	1036-7918	en_US
dc.identifier.uri	http://hdl.handle.net/10453/52814
dc.description.abstract	The New South Wales Local Court is the largest court in Australia. This study seeks to facilitate future planning for the Court by making demographic projections of the criminal workload of the Court over the next 25 years (criminal matters account for 95 per cent of its new lodgements). The study applies criminal conviction rates by age, sex and locality to population projections for the state to produce projections of the number of criminal convictions for the state and its geospatial subdivisions. These statistics are used to derive the demand for magistrates and a comparison is then made of the supply of magistrates under different scenarios. The principal finding is that, due to demographic change alone, the number of criminal convictions is projected to increase by 16 per cent by 2036, with nearly all the increase occurring in Sydney, especially in the city’s west and south west.	en_US
dc.publisher	Thomson Reuters	en_US
dc.relation.ispartof	Journal of Judicial Administration	en_US
dc.title	Population, Crime and Courts: Demographic Projections of the Future Workload of the New South Wales Magistracy	en_US
dc.type	Journal Article
utslib.citation.volume	23	en_US
utslib.for	1801 Law	en_US
pubs.embargo.period	Not known	en_US
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Faculty of Law
utslib.copyright.status	open_access
pubs.consider-herdc	false	en_US
pubs.publication-status	Published	en_US
pubs.volume	23	en_US

Abstract:

The New South Wales Local Court is the largest court in Australia. This study seeks to facilitate future planning for the Court by making demographic projections of the criminal workload of the Court over the next 25 years (criminal matters account for 95 per cent of its new lodgements). The study applies criminal conviction rates by age, sex and locality to population projections for the state to produce projections of the number of criminal convictions for the state and its geospatial subdivisions. These statistics are used to derive the demand for magistrates and a comparison is then made of the supply of magistrates under different scenarios. The principal finding is that, due to demographic change alone, the number of criminal convictions is projected to increase by 16 per cent by 2036, with nearly all the increase occurring in Sydney, especially in the city’s west and south west.

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http://hdl.handle.net/10453/52814