A hybrid framework to assess the risk of change in construction projects using fuzzy fault tree and fuzzy event tree analysis

Abad, F; Naeni, LM

A hybrid framework to assess the risk of change in construction projects using fuzzy fault tree and fuzzy event tree analysis

Abad, F Naeni, LM

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Publisher:: Taylor and Francis
Publication Type:: Journal Article
Citation:: The International Journal of Construction Management, 2021, pp. 1-13
Issue Date:: 2021-01-01

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Field	Value	Language
dc.contributor.author	Abad, F
dc.contributor.author	Naeni, LM
dc.date.accessioned	2021-03-04T00:07:19Z
dc.date.available	2021-08-12T19:01:10Z
dc.date.issued	2021-01-01
dc.identifier.citation	The International Journal of Construction Management, 2021, pp. 1-13
dc.identifier.issn	1562-3599
dc.identifier.issn	1562-3599
dc.identifier.uri	http://hdl.handle.net/10453/146736
dc.description.abstract	© 2020, © 2020 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group. Changes in construction projects are a common risk that often have an adverse impact on project performance. Thus, proactive change management plays a significant role in the successful completion of a project. The focus of this research is to develop a hybrid framework to manage change by evaluating the change formation and implementation phases proactively. In the proposed framework, first, fuzzy fault tree analysis is used to identify the root causes of a change and estimate the change occurrence probability. Then, fuzzy event tree analysis is employed to foresee the change implementation scenarios and assess their probabilities and degrees of impact on project objectives. Afterwards, a risk index is employed to describe the risks priority level of change. This framework enables the project team to prepare an effective risk response plan to manage the risk of change and reduce its detrimental effects on project performance.
dc.language	en
dc.publisher	Taylor and Francis
dc.relation.ispartof	The International Journal of Construction Management
dc.relation.isbasedon	10.1080/15623599.2020.1790474
dc.rights	info:eu-repo/semantics/embargoedAccess
dc.subject	0905 Civil Engineering, 1202 Building, 1504 Commercial Services
dc.title	A hybrid framework to assess the risk of change in construction projects using fuzzy fault tree and fuzzy event tree analysis
dc.type	Journal Article
utslib.for	0905 Civil Engineering
utslib.for	1202 Building
utslib.for	1504 Commercial Services
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Faculty of Design, Architecture and Building
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Faculty of Design, Architecture and Building/School of Built Environment
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney
utslib.copyright.status	open_access	*
pubs.consider-herdc	true
dc.date.updated	2021-03-04T00:07:18Z
pubs.publication-status	Published

Abstract:

© 2020, © 2020 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group. Changes in construction projects are a common risk that often have an adverse impact on project performance. Thus, proactive change management plays a significant role in the successful completion of a project. The focus of this research is to develop a hybrid framework to manage change by evaluating the change formation and implementation phases proactively. In the proposed framework, first, fuzzy fault tree analysis is used to identify the root causes of a change and estimate the change occurrence probability. Then, fuzzy event tree analysis is employed to foresee the change implementation scenarios and assess their probabilities and degrees of impact on project objectives. Afterwards, a risk index is employed to describe the risks priority level of change. This framework enables the project team to prepare an effective risk response plan to manage the risk of change and reduce its detrimental effects on project performance.

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http://hdl.handle.net/10453/146736