Seeking for a climate change mitigation and adaptation nexus: Analysis of a long-term power system expansion

Handayani, K; Filatova, T; Krozer, Y; Anugrah, P

Seeking for a climate change mitigation and adaptation nexus: Analysis of a long-term power system expansion

Handayani, K Filatova, T

Krozer, Y Anugrah, P

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Publisher:: ELSEVIER SCI LTD
Publication Type:: Journal Article
Citation:: Applied Energy, 2020, 262
Issue Date:: 2020-03-15

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Field	Value	Language
dc.contributor.author	Handayani, K
dc.contributor.author	Filatova, T https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3546-6930
dc.contributor.author	Krozer, Y
dc.contributor.author	Anugrah, P
dc.date.accessioned	2021-03-16T03:24:10Z
dc.date.available	2021-03-16T03:24:10Z
dc.date.issued	2020-03-15
dc.identifier.citation	Applied Energy, 2020, 262
dc.identifier.issn	0306-2619
dc.identifier.issn	1872-9118
dc.identifier.uri	http://hdl.handle.net/10453/147241
dc.description.abstract	© 2020 The Authors Reductions in carbon emissions have been a focus of the power sector. However, the sector itself is vulnerable to the impacts of global warming. Extreme weather events and gradual changes in climate variables can affect the reliability, cost, and environmental impacts of the energy supply. This paper analyzed the interplay between CO2 mitigation attempts and adaptations to climate change in the power sector using the Long-range Energy Alternative Planning System (LEAP) model. This paper presented a novel methodology to integrate both CO2 mitigation goals and the impacts of climate change into simulations of a power system expansion. The impacts on electricity supply and demand were quantified, based on historical climate-related impacts revealed during fieldwork and existing literature. The quantified effects, together with climate mitigation targets, were then integrated into the LEAP modeling architecture. The results showed a substantial alteration in technology composition and an increase in installed capacities driven by the joint climate mitigation–adaptation efforts when compared with the scenario without mitigation and adaptation (reference). Furthermore, an increase in CO2 emissions was observed under the mitigation-adaptation scenario compared with the mitigation only scenario, indicating that the power sector's adaptations for climate change are likely to hinder CO2 mitigation efforts. Therefore, a nexus between mitigation and adaptation should be exploited in the policy development for a low-carbon and climate-resilient power system.
dc.language	English
dc.publisher	ELSEVIER SCI LTD
dc.relation.ispartof	Applied Energy
dc.relation.isbasedon	10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.114485
dc.rights	info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subject	09 Engineering, 14 Economics
dc.subject.classification	Energy
dc.title	Seeking for a climate change mitigation and adaptation nexus: Analysis of a long-term power system expansion
dc.type	Journal Article
utslib.citation.volume	262
utslib.for	09 Engineering
utslib.for	14 Economics
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Strength - PERSWADE - Centre on Persuasive Systems for Wise Adaptive Living
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology/School of Information, Systems and Modelling
utslib.copyright.status	open_access	*
pubs.consider-herdc	false
dc.date.updated	2021-03-16T03:24:08Z
pubs.publication-status	Published
pubs.volume	262

Abstract:

© 2020 The Authors Reductions in carbon emissions have been a focus of the power sector. However, the sector itself is vulnerable to the impacts of global warming. Extreme weather events and gradual changes in climate variables can affect the reliability, cost, and environmental impacts of the energy supply. This paper analyzed the interplay between CO2 mitigation attempts and adaptations to climate change in the power sector using the Long-range Energy Alternative Planning System (LEAP) model. This paper presented a novel methodology to integrate both CO2 mitigation goals and the impacts of climate change into simulations of a power system expansion. The impacts on electricity supply and demand were quantified, based on historical climate-related impacts revealed during fieldwork and existing literature. The quantified effects, together with climate mitigation targets, were then integrated into the LEAP modeling architecture. The results showed a substantial alteration in technology composition and an increase in installed capacities driven by the joint climate mitigation–adaptation efforts when compared with the scenario without mitigation and adaptation (reference). Furthermore, an increase in CO2 emissions was observed under the mitigation-adaptation scenario compared with the mitigation only scenario, indicating that the power sector's adaptations for climate change are likely to hinder CO2 mitigation efforts. Therefore, a nexus between mitigation and adaptation should be exploited in the policy development for a low-carbon and climate-resilient power system.

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http://hdl.handle.net/10453/147241