Tracking the uptake and trajectory of COVID-19 vaccination coverage in 15 West African countries: an interim analysis.

Afolabi, MO; Wariri, O; Saidu, Y; Otu, A; Omoleke, SA; Ebenso, B; Adebiyi, A; Ooko, M; Ahinkorah, BO; Ameyaw, EK; Seidu, A-A; Agogo, E; Nomhwange, T; Salami, K; Mohammed, NI; Yaya, S

Tracking the uptake and trajectory of COVID-19 vaccination coverage in 15 West African countries: an interim analysis.

Afolabi, MO Wariri, O Saidu, Y Otu, A Omoleke, SA Ebenso, B Adebiyi, A Ooko, M Ahinkorah, BO Ameyaw, EK Seidu, A-A Agogo, E Nomhwange, T Salami, K Mohammed, NI Yaya, S

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Publisher:: BMJ
Publication Type:: Journal Article
Citation:: BMJ global health, 2021, 6, (12), pp. e007518-e007518
Issue Date:: 2021-12

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Field	Value	Language
dc.contributor.author	Afolabi, MO
dc.contributor.author	Wariri, O
dc.contributor.author	Saidu, Y
dc.contributor.author	Otu, A
dc.contributor.author	Omoleke, SA
dc.contributor.author	Ebenso, B
dc.contributor.author	Adebiyi, A
dc.contributor.author	Ooko, M
dc.contributor.author	Ahinkorah, BO
dc.contributor.author	Ameyaw, EK
dc.contributor.author	Seidu, A-A
dc.contributor.author	Agogo, E
dc.contributor.author	Nomhwange, T
dc.contributor.author	Salami, K
dc.contributor.author	Mohammed, NI
dc.contributor.author	Yaya, S
dc.date.accessioned	2021-12-28T03:41:52Z
dc.date.available	2021-10-28
dc.date.available	2021-12-28T03:41:52Z
dc.date.issued	2021-12
dc.identifier.citation	BMJ global health, 2021, 6, (12), pp. e007518-e007518
dc.identifier.issn	2059-7908
dc.identifier.issn	2059-7908
dc.identifier.uri	http://hdl.handle.net/10453/152547
dc.description.abstract	The African Union Bureau of Heads of State and Government endorsed the COVID-19 Vaccine Development and Access Strategy to vaccinate at least 60% of each country's population with a safe and efficacious vaccine by 2022, to achieve the population-level immunity needed to bring the pandemic under control. Using publicly available, country-level population estimates and COVID-19 vaccination data, we provide unique insights into the uptake trends of COVID-19 vaccinations in the 15 countries that comprise the Economic Community of West Africa States (ECOWAS). Based on the vaccination rates in the ECOWAS region after three months of commencing COVID-19 vaccinations, we provide a projection of the trajectory and speed of vaccination needed to achieve a COVID-19 vaccination coverage rate of at least 60% of the total ECOWAS population. After three months of the deployment of COVID-19 vaccines across the ECOWAS countries, only 0.27% of the region's total population had been fully vaccinated. If ECOWAS countries follow this trajectory, the sub-region will have less than 1.6% of the total population fully vaccinated after 18 months of vaccine deployment. Our projection shows that to achieve a COVID-19 vaccination coverage of at least 60% of the total population in the ECOWAS sub-region after 9, 12 and 18 months of vaccine deployment; the speed of vaccination must be increased to 10, 7 and 4 times the current trajectory, respectively. West African governments must deploy contextually relevant and culturally acceptable strategies for COVID-19 vaccine procurements, distributions and implementations in order to achieve reasonable coverage and save lives, sooner rather than later.
dc.format	Print
dc.language	eng
dc.publisher	BMJ
dc.relation.ispartof	BMJ global health
dc.relation.isbasedon	10.1136/bmjgh-2021-007518
dc.rights	info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subject.mesh	Humans
dc.subject.mesh	Vaccination
dc.subject.mesh	Africa, Western
dc.subject.mesh	Vaccination Coverage
dc.subject.mesh	COVID-19
dc.subject.mesh	SARS-CoV-2
dc.subject.mesh	COVID-19 Vaccines
dc.subject.mesh	Vaccine Development
dc.title	Tracking the uptake and trajectory of COVID-19 vaccination coverage in 15 West African countries: an interim analysis.
dc.type	Journal Article
utslib.citation.volume	6
utslib.location.activity	England
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Faculty of Health
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Faculty of Health/Public Health
utslib.copyright.status	open_access	*
dc.date.updated	2021-12-28T03:41:50Z
pubs.issue	12
pubs.publication-status	Published
pubs.volume	6
utslib.citation.issue	12

Abstract:

The African Union Bureau of Heads of State and Government endorsed the COVID-19 Vaccine Development and Access Strategy to vaccinate at least 60% of each country's population with a safe and efficacious vaccine by 2022, to achieve the population-level immunity needed to bring the pandemic under control. Using publicly available, country-level population estimates and COVID-19 vaccination data, we provide unique insights into the uptake trends of COVID-19 vaccinations in the 15 countries that comprise the Economic Community of West Africa States (ECOWAS). Based on the vaccination rates in the ECOWAS region after three months of commencing COVID-19 vaccinations, we provide a projection of the trajectory and speed of vaccination needed to achieve a COVID-19 vaccination coverage rate of at least 60% of the total ECOWAS population. After three months of the deployment of COVID-19 vaccines across the ECOWAS countries, only 0.27% of the region's total population had been fully vaccinated. If ECOWAS countries follow this trajectory, the sub-region will have less than 1.6% of the total population fully vaccinated after 18 months of vaccine deployment. Our projection shows that to achieve a COVID-19 vaccination coverage of at least 60% of the total population in the ECOWAS sub-region after 9, 12 and 18 months of vaccine deployment; the speed of vaccination must be increased to 10, 7 and 4 times the current trajectory, respectively. West African governments must deploy contextually relevant and culturally acceptable strategies for COVID-19 vaccine procurements, distributions and implementations in order to achieve reasonable coverage and save lives, sooner rather than later.

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http://hdl.handle.net/10453/152547