Development of multiple-step soft-sensors using a Gaussian process model with application for fault prognosis
- Publisher:
- ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
- Publication Type:
- Journal Article
- Citation:
- Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems, 2016, 157, pp. 85-95
- Issue Date:
- 2016-10-15
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1-s2.0-S0169743916301642-main.pdf | Published version | 2.28 MB |
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Predicting the degradation of working conditions and trending of fault propagation before they reach the alarm or failure control limit is significantly important to optimize the operational capacity of a chemical process. However, traditional one-step-ahead (OS) soft-sensors render such benefits inadequate. Direct, Recursive and Direct-recursive strategies are proposed to generalize the Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) model for multi-step-ahead (MS) prediction, thereby supporting the fault diagnosis and prognosis of the product qualities control for chemical processes. The proposed methodology was firstly demonstrated by applying the designed algorithm to a wastewater plant (WWTP) simulated with the well-established model, i.e., Benchmark Simulation Model 1 (BSM1), then extended to a full-scale WWTP with data collected from the field influenced by filamentous sludge bulking. Results showed that the proposed strategies significantly improved the prediction performance.
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