Extreme Events for Infrastructure: Uncertainty and Risk

Publisher:
Springer Nature
Publication Type:
Chapter
Citation:
Springer Tracts in Civil Engineering, 2022, pp. 3-27
Issue Date:
2022-01-01
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Buildings, bridges, roads, and other infrastructure essential to our economic and social well-being are at an increasing risk from hurricanes, storms, floods, earthquakes, tsunamis, heat waves, fires, terrorism, climate change and other extreme events. The timing, severity and combination of these extremes are highly uncertain, and are characterised as low probability-high consequence events. The chapter starts by introducing and reviewing basic concepts about risk and cost–benefit analysis of protective measures aim to reduce the vulnerability of infrastructure, and hence reduce the future impacts of extreme events to reveal protective measures that are cost-effective, and those that are not. This literature review justifies the introduction of risk-based decision support that integrates hazard, engineering, and fragility models, as well as economical decision tools to perform a comprehensive assessment of the cost-effectiveness of protective measures. This risk-based decision support will be illustrated with various study cases of engineering for extremes in the following chapters of this book.
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