Climate change potential impacts on mosquito-borne diseases: a mathematical modelling analysis

Saha, G; Shahrear, P; Rahman, S; Naji, RK; Srinivas, MN; Das, K

Climate change potential impacts on mosquito-borne diseases: a mathematical modelling analysis

Saha, G

Shahrear, P Rahman, S Naji, RK Srinivas, MN Das, K

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Publisher:: TAMKANG UNIV
Publication Type:: Journal Article
Citation:: Tamkang Journal of Mathematics, 2025, 56, (3), pp. 335-354
Issue Date:: 2025-01-01

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Field	Value	Language
dc.contributor.author	Saha, G https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6467-298X
dc.contributor.author	Shahrear, P
dc.contributor.author	Rahman, S
dc.contributor.author	Naji, RK
dc.contributor.author	Srinivas, MN
dc.contributor.author	Das, K
dc.date.accessioned	2025-12-19T04:26:03Z
dc.date.available	2025-12-19T04:26:03Z
dc.date.issued	2025-01-01
dc.identifier.citation	Tamkang Journal of Mathematics, 2025, 56, (3), pp. 335-354
dc.identifier.issn	0049-2930
dc.identifier.issn	2073-9826
dc.identifier.uri	http://hdl.handle.net/10453/191025
dc.description.abstract	Climate change and global warming have caused catastrophic effects that are already being felt in Bangladesh. The rise in temperature associated with global warming, as well as the broader impacts of climate change, are damaging the planet. These effects are spatial and temporal and have led to unexpected outcomes, such as the coexistence of humans and mosquitoes in regions where it was previously unimaginable. Despite being the smallest animals on earth, mosquitoes are also the deadliest, killing thousands of humans each year. The Culex mosquito, a common type of mosquito in Bangladesh, is easily accessible and poses a significant threat to human health. The transmission of viruses to humans is a significant concern. This article introduces and discusses the LMSEI-SEIR mathematical model, which can help in understanding this process. The disease-free equilibrium point and its stability are presented, and the reproduction number is calculated. To further investigate the implications of this model, a numerical analysis is conducted using MATLAB. The resulting figures can be used to inform future measures aimed at protecting against human fatalities.
dc.language	English
dc.publisher	TAMKANG UNIV
dc.relation.ispartof	Tamkang Journal of Mathematics
dc.relation.isbasedon	10.5556/j.tkjm.56.2025.5286
dc.rights	info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subject	0101 Pure Mathematics
dc.subject.classification	General Mathematics
dc.subject.classification	4904 Pure mathematics
dc.title	Climate change potential impacts on mosquito-borne diseases: a mathematical modelling analysis
dc.type	Journal Article
utslib.citation.volume	56
utslib.for	0101 Pure Mathematics
pubs.organisational-group	University of Technology Sydney
pubs.organisational-group	University of Technology Sydney/Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology
utslib.copyright.status	open_access	*
dc.rights.license	This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0). To view a copy of this license, visit https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
dc.date.updated	2025-12-19T04:26:01Z
pubs.issue	3
pubs.publication-status	Published
pubs.volume	56
utslib.citation.issue	3

Abstract:

Climate change and global warming have caused catastrophic effects that are already being felt in Bangladesh. The rise in temperature associated with global warming, as well as the broader impacts of climate change, are damaging the planet. These effects are spatial and temporal and have led to unexpected outcomes, such as the coexistence of humans and mosquitoes in regions where it was previously unimaginable. Despite being the smallest animals on earth, mosquitoes are also the deadliest, killing thousands of humans each year. The Culex mosquito, a common type of mosquito in Bangladesh, is easily accessible and poses a significant threat to human health. The transmission of viruses to humans is a significant concern. This article introduces and discusses the LMSEI-SEIR mathematical model, which can help in understanding this process. The disease-free equilibrium point and its stability are presented, and the reproduction number is calculated. To further investigate the implications of this model, a numerical analysis is conducted using MATLAB. The resulting figures can be used to inform future measures aimed at protecting against human fatalities.

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http://hdl.handle.net/10453/191025