Examination of climate risk using a modified uncertainty matrix framework-Applications in the water sector

Publication Type:
Journal Article
Global Environmental Change, 2013, 23 (1), pp. 115 - 129
Issue Date:
Filename Description Size
Thumbnail2011008230OK.pdfPublished Version475.7 kB
Adobe PDF
Full metadata record
Previous climate risk assessments provide important methodological insights into how to derive tractable research questions and the appropriate use of data under uncertainty, as well as identifying steps that benefit from stakeholder involvement. Here we propose the use of a framework for the systematic and objective exploration of climate risk assessments. The matrix facilitates a breakdown of information about aim and context, main results, methodological choices, stakeholder involvement, sources and characteristics of uncertainties and overall weaknesses. We then apply the matrix to three risk assessments in the water sector to explore some methodological strengths and weaknesses of approaches strongly linked to climate model outputs (top-down) versus those that originate from local knowledge of climate exposures (bottom-up), and demonstrate that closer integration with social and physical sciences is more likely to yield robust climate risk assessments. © 2012 Elsevier Ltd.
Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: