Factors associated with early career progression in professional Australian Football players

Sullivan, C; Kempton, T; Ward, P; Coutts, AJ

Factors associated with early career progression in professional Australian Football players

Sullivan, C Kempton, T Ward, P Coutts, AJ

Permalink

Publication Type:: Journal Article
Citation:: Journal of Sports Sciences, 2018, 36 (19), pp. 2196 - 2201
Issue Date:: 2018-10-02

Closed Access

	Filename	Description	Size
	Factors associated with early career progression in professional Australian Football players.pdf	Published Version	960.35 kB	Adobe PDF	View/Open

Copyright Clearance Process

Recently Added
In Progress
Closed Access

This item is closed access and not available.

Full metadata record

Field	Value	Language
dc.contributor.author	Sullivan, C	en_US
dc.contributor.author	Kempton, T	en_US
dc.contributor.author	Ward, P	en_US
dc.contributor.author	Coutts, AJ https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1782-7691	en_US
dc.date.issued	2018-10-02	en_US
dc.identifier.citation	Journal of Sports Sciences, 2018, 36 (19), pp. 2196 - 2201	en_US
dc.identifier.issn	0264-0414	en_US
dc.identifier.uri	http://hdl.handle.net/10453/129188
dc.description.abstract	© 2018, © 2018 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group. This study examined the association between individual and team characteristics and the probability of being offered a second contract in professional Australian Football. Contract status was obtained from the AFL for players who were drafted in the AFL National Draft between 1999 and 2013 (n = 999). Individual player characteristics were retrieved from the AFL while variables relating to performance were accessed online via Champion Data®. A binary logistic regression examined the influence of each characteristic on the probability of a professional Australian Football player receiving a second contract. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the associated AUC were used to assess the discriminant ability of both a training (n = 938) and test data set (n = 61). The characteristics that influenced the probability of receiving a second contract included first year debut (pr 0.606), draft order (pr–0.126), draft year (pr 0.059), games played (pr 1.848), team state (pr 0.458), rising star nomination (pr 1.553) and team ladder position (pr −0.043) (χ2 (8) = 198.28, p < 0.001). The ROC curve demonstrated an AUC of 82.4% (training) and 76.0% (test). A combination of individual and team based characteristics are associated with early career progression in professional Australian Football.	en_US
dc.relation.ispartof	Journal of Sports Sciences	en_US
dc.relation.isbasedon	10.1080/02640414.2018.1444277	en_US
dc.subject.classification	Sport Sciences	en_US
dc.subject.mesh	Humans	en_US
dc.subject.mesh	Area Under Curve	en_US
dc.subject.mesh	Logistic Models	en_US
dc.subject.mesh	Retrospective Studies	en_US
dc.subject.mesh	Longitudinal Studies	en_US
dc.subject.mesh	ROC Curve	en_US
dc.subject.mesh	Aptitude	en_US
dc.subject.mesh	Contracts	en_US
dc.subject.mesh	Career Mobility	en_US
dc.subject.mesh	Soccer	en_US
dc.subject.mesh	Adolescent	en_US
dc.subject.mesh	Australia	en_US
dc.subject.mesh	Male	en_US
dc.subject.mesh	Athletic Performance	en_US
dc.subject.mesh	Young Adult	en_US
dc.title	Factors associated with early career progression in professional Australian Football players	en_US
dc.type	Journal Article
utslib.citation.volume	19	en_US
utslib.citation.volume	36	en_US
utslib.for	1106 Human Movement and Sports Sciences	en_US
utslib.for	1302 Curriculum and Pedagogy	en_US
pubs.embargo.period	Not known	en_US
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Faculty of Health
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Provost
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Provost/Jumbunna
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Strength - CHSP - Health Services and Practice
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Strength - CHT - Health Technologies
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Students
utslib.copyright.status	closed_access
pubs.issue	19	en_US
pubs.publication-status	Published	en_US
pubs.volume	36	en_US

Abstract:

© 2018, © 2018 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group. This study examined the association between individual and team characteristics and the probability of being offered a second contract in professional Australian Football. Contract status was obtained from the AFL for players who were drafted in the AFL National Draft between 1999 and 2013 (n = 999). Individual player characteristics were retrieved from the AFL while variables relating to performance were accessed online via Champion Data®. A binary logistic regression examined the influence of each characteristic on the probability of a professional Australian Football player receiving a second contract. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the associated AUC were used to assess the discriminant ability of both a training (n = 938) and test data set (n = 61). The characteristics that influenced the probability of receiving a second contract included first year debut (pr 0.606), draft order (pr–0.126), draft year (pr 0.059), games played (pr 1.848), team state (pr 0.458), rising star nomination (pr 1.553) and team ladder position (pr −0.043) (χ2 (8) = 198.28, p < 0.001). The ROC curve demonstrated an AUC of 82.4% (training) and 76.0% (test). A combination of individual and team based characteristics are associated with early career progression in professional Australian Football.

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:

http://hdl.handle.net/10453/129188