Psychological momentum in contests: The case of scoring before half-time in football

Gauriot, R; Page, L

Psychological momentum in contests: The case of scoring before half-time in football

Gauriot, R Page, L

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Publication Type:: Journal Article
Citation:: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 2018, 149 pp. 137 - 168
Issue Date:: 2018-05-01

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Field	Value	Language
dc.contributor.author	Gauriot, R	en_US
dc.contributor.author	Page, L https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6020-9733	en_US
dc.date.issued	2018-05-01	en_US
dc.identifier.citation	Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 2018, 149 pp. 137 - 168	en_US
dc.identifier.issn	0167-2681	en_US
dc.identifier.uri	http://hdl.handle.net/10453/132620
dc.description.abstract	© 2018 Elsevier B.V. We study the existence of a psychological momentum commonly believed to exist in a real world contest: the effect of scoring just before half-time in association football (soccer). Using high quality data on football matches, we isolate a quasi-experimental situation to identify the effect of scoring on later performance. We carefully select shots toward the goal, taken from a similar location on the pitch, which landed on the goal posts. Using the non-goal shots as conterfactuals to the scoring shots, we estimate the causal effect of scoring at different times in the first half. We do not find any evidence of an effect of scoring before half-time. This result contributes to the debate on whether psychological momentum exists in contests.	en_US
dc.relation.ispartof	Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization	en_US
dc.relation.isbasedon	10.1016/j.jebo.2018.02.015	en_US
dc.subject.classification	Economics	en_US
dc.title	Psychological momentum in contests: The case of scoring before half-time in football	en_US
dc.type	Journal Article
utslib.citation.volume	149	en_US
utslib.for	170109 Personality, Abilities and Assessment	en_US
utslib.for	1401 Economic Theory	en_US
utslib.for	1402 Applied Economics	en_US
utslib.for	1403 Econometrics	en_US
pubs.embargo.period	Not known	en_US
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Faculty of Business
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Faculty of Business/Economics Discipline
utslib.copyright.status	closed_access
pubs.publication-status	Published	en_US
pubs.volume	149	en_US

Abstract:

© 2018 Elsevier B.V. We study the existence of a psychological momentum commonly believed to exist in a real world contest: the effect of scoring just before half-time in association football (soccer). Using high quality data on football matches, we isolate a quasi-experimental situation to identify the effect of scoring on later performance. We carefully select shots toward the goal, taken from a similar location on the pitch, which landed on the goal posts. Using the non-goal shots as conterfactuals to the scoring shots, we estimate the causal effect of scoring at different times in the first half. We do not find any evidence of an effect of scoring before half-time. This result contributes to the debate on whether psychological momentum exists in contests.

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http://hdl.handle.net/10453/132620