Bubbles and crises: Replicating the Anundsen et al. (2016) results
- Publisher:
- Wiley
- Publication Type:
- Journal Article
- Citation:
- Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2019, 34 (5), pp. 822 - 826
- Issue Date:
- 2019-08
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Filename | Description | Size | |||
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Bubbles and crises_ Replicating the Anundsen et al. (2016) results - Fu - 2019 - Journal of Applied Econometrics - Wiley Online Library.pdf | Published Version | 480.08 kB |
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This paper both narrowly and widely replicates the results of Anundsen et al. (Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2016, 31(7), 1291–1311). I am able to reproduce the same results as theirs. Furthermore, I find that allowing for time‐varying parameters of early warning system models can considerably improve the in‐sample model fit and out‐of‐sample forecasting performance based on an expanding window forecasting exercise.
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