Risky youth to risky adults: Sustained increased risk of crash in the DRIVE study 13 years on.

Möller, H; Ivers, R; Cullen, P; Rogers, K; Boufous, S; Patton, G; Senserrick, T

Risky youth to risky adults: Sustained increased risk of crash in the DRIVE study 13 years on.

Möller, H Ivers, R Cullen, P Rogers, K

Boufous, S Patton, G Senserrick, T

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Publisher:: Elsevier
Publication Type:: Journal Article
Citation:: Preventive Medicine, 2021, 153, pp. 1-9
Issue Date:: 2021-12

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Field	Value	Language
dc.contributor.author	Möller, H
dc.contributor.author	Ivers, R
dc.contributor.author	Cullen, P
dc.contributor.author	Rogers, K https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5497-4298
dc.contributor.author	Boufous, S
dc.contributor.author	Patton, G
dc.contributor.author	Senserrick, T
dc.date.accessioned	2021-12-13T01:11:51Z
dc.date.available	2021-09-04
dc.date.available	2021-12-13T01:11:51Z
dc.date.issued	2021-12
dc.identifier.citation	Preventive Medicine, 2021, 153, pp. 1-9
dc.identifier.issn	0091-7435
dc.identifier.issn	1096-0260
dc.identifier.uri	http://hdl.handle.net/10453/152265
dc.description.abstract	The objective of this study was to investigate if drivers who exhibit risky driving behaviours during youth (aged 17-24 years) have an increased risk of car crash up to 13 years later. We used data from the DRIVE study, a 2003/04 survey of 20,806 young novice drivers in New South Wales, Australia. The data were linked with police crash, hospital and deaths data up to 2016. We analysed differences in crash associated with 13 items of risky driving behaviours using negative binominal regression models adjusted for driver demographics, driving exposure and known crash risk factors. The items were summarised in one index and grouped into quintiles for the analysis. After adjusting for confounding, drivers of the third (RR 1.16, 95% CI 1.05-1.30), fourth (RR1.22, 95% CI1.09-1.36) and fifth quintile (RR 1.36, 95% CI 1.21-1.53) had higher crash rates compared to the lowest risk-takers. Drivers with the highest scores on the risky driving measure had higher rates of crash related hospital admission or death (RR 1.92, 95% CI 1.13-3.27), crashes in wet conditions (RR 1.35,95% CI 1.05-1.73), crashes in darkness (RR 1.55, 95% CI 1.25-1.93) and head-on crashes (RR 2.14, 95% CI 1.07-4.28), compared with drivers with the lowest scores. Novice adolescent drivers who reported high levels of risky driving when they first obtained a driver licence remained at increased risk of crash well into adulthood. Measures that successfully reduce early risky driving, have the potential to substantially reduce road crashes and transport related injuries and deaths over the lifespan.
dc.format	Print-Electronic
dc.language	eng
dc.publisher	Elsevier
dc.relation.ispartof	Preventive Medicine
dc.relation.isbasedon	10.1016/j.ypmed.2021.106786
dc.rights	info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subject	1106 Human Movement and Sports Sciences, 1117 Public Health and Health Services
dc.subject.classification	Public Health
dc.title	Risky youth to risky adults: Sustained increased risk of crash in the DRIVE study 13 years on.
dc.type	Journal Article
utslib.citation.volume	153
utslib.location.activity	United States
utslib.for	1106 Human Movement and Sports Sciences
utslib.for	1117 Public Health and Health Services
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Faculty of Health
utslib.copyright.status	open_access	*
pubs.consider-herdc	false
dc.date.updated	2021-12-13T01:11:50Z
pubs.publication-status	Published
pubs.volume	153

Abstract:

The objective of this study was to investigate if drivers who exhibit risky driving behaviours during youth (aged 17-24 years) have an increased risk of car crash up to 13 years later. We used data from the DRIVE study, a 2003/04 survey of 20,806 young novice drivers in New South Wales, Australia. The data were linked with police crash, hospital and deaths data up to 2016. We analysed differences in crash associated with 13 items of risky driving behaviours using negative binominal regression models adjusted for driver demographics, driving exposure and known crash risk factors. The items were summarised in one index and grouped into quintiles for the analysis. After adjusting for confounding, drivers of the third (RR 1.16, 95% CI 1.05-1.30), fourth (RR1.22, 95% CI1.09-1.36) and fifth quintile (RR 1.36, 95% CI 1.21-1.53) had higher crash rates compared to the lowest risk-takers. Drivers with the highest scores on the risky driving measure had higher rates of crash related hospital admission or death (RR 1.92, 95% CI 1.13-3.27), crashes in wet conditions (RR 1.35,95% CI 1.05-1.73), crashes in darkness (RR 1.55, 95% CI 1.25-1.93) and head-on crashes (RR 2.14, 95% CI 1.07-4.28), compared with drivers with the lowest scores. Novice adolescent drivers who reported high levels of risky driving when they first obtained a driver licence remained at increased risk of crash well into adulthood. Measures that successfully reduce early risky driving, have the potential to substantially reduce road crashes and transport related injuries and deaths over the lifespan.

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