Controlled Sequential Monte Carlo
- Publisher:
- Institute of Mathematical Statistics
- Publication Type:
- Journal Article
- Citation:
- Annals of Statistics, 2020, 48, (5), pp. 2904-2929
- Issue Date:
- 2020
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Sequential Monte Carlo methods, also known as particle methods, are a popular
set of techniques to approximate high-dimensional probability distributions and
their normalizing constants. They have found numerous applications in
statistics and related fields as they can be applied to perform state
estimation for non-linear non-Gaussian state space models and Bayesian
inference for complex static models. Like many Monte Carlo sampling schemes,
they rely on proposal distributions which have a crucial impact on their
performance. We introduce here a class of controlled sequential Monte Carlo
algorithms, where the proposal distributions are determined by approximating
the solution to an associated optimal control problem using an iterative
scheme. We provide theoretical analysis of our proposed methodology and
demonstrate significant gains over state-of-the-art methods at a fixed
computational complexity on a variety of applications.
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