Impacts of hydroclimate change on climate-resilient agriculture at the river basin management

Publisher:
IWA Publishing
Publication Type:
Journal Article
Citation:
Journal of Water and Climate Change, 2023, 15, (1), pp. 209-232
Issue Date:
2023-12-15
Full metadata record
Abstract This paper focuses on exploring the potential of Climate resilient agriculture CRA for river basin scale management Our analysis is based on long term historical and future climate and hydrological datasets within a GIS environment focusing on the Ajoy River basin in West Bengal Eastern India The standardized anomaly index SAI and slope of the linear regression SLR methods were employed to analyse the spatial pattern of the climate variables precipitation Tmax and Tmin and hydrological variables actual evapotranspiration AET runoff Q vapor pressure deficit VPD potential evapotranspiration PET and climate water deficit DEF using the TerraClimate dataset spanning from 1958 to 2020 Future climate trend analysis spanning 2021 to 2050 was conducted using the CMIP6 based GCMs MIROC6 and EC Earth3 dataset under shared socio economic pathway SSP2 4 5 SSP5 8 5 and historical For spatiotemporal water storage analysis we relied on Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment GRACE from the Center for Space Research CSR and the Jet Propulsion Laboratory JPL data covering the period from 2002 to 2021 Validation was performed using regional groundwater level data employing various machine learning classification models Our findings revealed a negative precipitation trend approximately 0 04 mm year in the southern part whereas the northern part exhibited a positive trend approximately 0 10 mm year
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