Sentiment over Scores: Text-based ESG analytics for sustainable investment decisions

Publication Type:
Thesis
Issue Date:
2025
Full metadata record
After years of rapid growth, interest in environmental, social, and governance (ESG) investing is waning amid concerns that traditional ESG metrics are backward-looking, opaque, and inconsistent. This dissertation examines how forward-looking, data-driven ESG sentiment can overcome these limitations and enhance understanding of risk and return in financial markets as it relates to ESG. Chapter 2 outlines the shortcomings of traditional ESG ratings and introduces the ESG sentiment dataset, revealing unexpected characteristics compared with conventional sentiment measures. Chapter 3 investigates the link between ESG uncertainty and stock price volatility, showing that while ESG sentiment indicators can effectively predict volatility, their predictive power varies across measures. Chapter 4 addresses the “equity greenium” puzzle and introduces Breaking Buzz!, a novel metric that aligns sentiment with ESG ratings and demonstrates how delays in ESG classification can distort the greenium. Overall, this research provides practical tools for investors and policymakers, highlighting the potential of dynamic ESG sentiment to transform risk modelling, asset pricing, and sustainable investing in an evolving financial landscape.
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