Modelling bounce-back in water consumption post-drought
- Australian Water Association (AWA)
- Publication Type:
- Journal Article
- Water, 2013, 40 (5), pp. 79 - 84
- Issue Date:
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Focused on a case study of Geelong, Victoria, this paper presents the results of a unique comparison of (i) a custombuilt regression model for forecasting total customer water demand and (ii) end-use based water projections using the integrated Supply Demand Planning model (iSDP) model. The regression model used historical data for calibration based on level of restrictions, evapotranspiration, temperature, and rainfall. By selecting a future climate scenario (and any anticipated restriction periods) for the next 10-year period, demand can be projected by the model.
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