Sentiment and Financial Health Indicators for Value and Growth Stocks: The European Experience

Bird, R; Casavecchia, L

Sentiment and Financial Health Indicators for Value and Growth Stocks: The European Experience

Bird, R

Casavecchia, L

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Publisher:: Routledge
Publication Type:: Journal Article
Citation:: The European Journal of Finance, 2007, 13 (8), pp. 769 - 793
Issue Date:: 2007-01

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Field	Value	Language
dc.contributor.author	Bird, R https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0524-9377	en_US
dc.contributor.author	Casavecchia, L https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1452-3059	en_US
dc.date.issued	2007-01	en_US
dc.identifier.citation	The European Journal of Finance, 2007, 13 (8), pp. 769 - 793	en_US
dc.identifier.issn	1351-847X	en_US
dc.identifier.uri	http://hdl.handle.net/10453/5380
dc.description.abstract	The well-documented market underperformance of the majority of value and growth stocks over a 12-month holding period reflects that traditional valuation metrics might tell us whether a stock is potentially cheap or expensive but little about when, or even if, it will experience a market correction. Two indicators have come to the fore in recent years that provide useful insights: sentiment/momentum and accounting fundamentals/financial health.We examine their single and combined impact on value and growth stocks and find that (i) they are effective in introducing a timing element into the selection of both value and growth stocks, (ii) the sentiment indicator completely dominates the financial health indicator and, (iii) both indictors contribute to the performance of the good and bad growth stocks. The size and significance of the investment profits that potentially can be generated using the two indicators in combination questions of the efficiency of the European equity markets.We conclude that our findings are consistent with the pricing cycle for a stock proposed by Lee and Swaminathan (Lee, C. and Swaminathan, B. (2000) Price momentum and trading volume, Journal of Finance, 55, pp. 2017 2069.) and the under- and over-reaction in pricing inherent in models proposed by Barberis et al. (Barberis, N., Shleifer A., and Vishny, R. (1998) A model of investor sentiment, Journal of Financial Economics, 49, pp. 307 343.) and Hong and Stein (Hong, H. and Stein, J.C. (1999) A unified theory of underreaction, momentum trading and overreaction in asset markets, Journal of Finance, 54, pp. 2143-2184.).	en_US
dc.publisher	Routledge	en_US
dc.relation.ispartof	The European Journal of Finance	en_US
dc.subject.classification	Finance	en_US
dc.title	Sentiment and Financial Health Indicators for Value and Growth Stocks: The European Experience	en_US
dc.type	Journal Article
utslib.citation.volume	8	en_US
utslib.citation.volume	13	en_US
utslib.for	150201 Finance	en_US
utslib.for	1502 Banking, Finance and Investment	en_US
pubs.embargo.period	Not known	en_US
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Faculty of Business
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Faculty of Business/Finance Discipline
utslib.copyright.status	closed_access
pubs.consider-herdc	true	en_US
pubs.issue	8	en_US
pubs.volume	13	en_US

Abstract:

The well-documented market underperformance of the majority of value and growth stocks over a 12-month holding period reflects that traditional valuation metrics might tell us whether a stock is potentially cheap or expensive but little about when, or even if, it will experience a market correction. Two indicators have come to the fore in recent years that provide useful insights: sentiment/momentum and accounting fundamentals/financial health.We examine their single and combined impact on value and growth stocks and find that (i) they are effective in introducing a timing element into the selection of both value and growth stocks, (ii) the sentiment indicator completely dominates the financial health indicator and, (iii) both indictors contribute to the performance of the good and bad growth stocks. The size and significance of the investment profits that potentially can be generated using the two indicators in combination questions of the efficiency of the European equity markets.We conclude that our findings are consistent with the pricing cycle for a stock proposed by Lee and Swaminathan (Lee, C. and Swaminathan, B. (2000) Price momentum and trading volume, Journal of Finance, 55, pp. 2017 2069.) and the under- and over-reaction in pricing inherent in models proposed by Barberis et al. (Barberis, N., Shleifer A., and Vishny, R. (1998) A model of investor sentiment, Journal of Financial Economics, 49, pp. 307 343.) and Hong and Stein (Hong, H. and Stein, J.C. (1999) A unified theory of underreaction, momentum trading and overreaction in asset markets, Journal of Finance, 54, pp. 2143-2184.).

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http://hdl.handle.net/10453/5380