What happens to Japan if China catches a cold?: A causal analysis of Chinese growth and Japanese growth

Chen, P; Hsiao, C

What happens to Japan if China catches a cold?: A causal analysis of Chinese growth and Japanese growth

Chen, P Hsiao, C

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Publisher:: Elsevier Inc
Publication Type:: Journal Article
Citation:: Japan and the World Economy, 2008, 20 (4), pp. 622 - 638
Issue Date:: 2008-01

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Field	Value	Language
dc.contributor.author	Chen, P	en_US
dc.contributor.author	Hsiao, C	en_US
dc.date.issued	2008-01	en_US
dc.identifier.citation	Japan and the World Economy, 2008, 20 (4), pp. 622 - 638	en_US
dc.identifier.issn	0922-1425	en_US
dc.identifier.uri	http://hdl.handle.net/10453/9937
dc.description.abstract	In this paper, we conduct an empirical study to investigate the directionality of the dependence between the Chinese economy and the Japanese economy. Taking a probabilistic causal approach, we infer the causal dependence among the Japanese economy and the Chinese economy based on observed data. We find evidence that the Chinese growth has both contemporaneous and temporal causal effects on Japanese growth, though the effect is very small. We did not find any evidence that the Japanese growth might have temporal or contemporaneous causal effect on Chinese growth.	en_US
dc.publisher	Elsevier Inc	en_US
dc.relation.ispartof	Japan and the World Economy	en_US
dc.relation.isbasedon	10.1016/j.japwor.2007.06.001	en_US
dc.subject.classification	Economics	en_US
dc.title	What happens to Japan if China catches a cold?: A causal analysis of Chinese growth and Japanese growth	en_US
dc.type	Journal Article
utslib.citation.volume	4	en_US
utslib.citation.volume	20	en_US
utslib.for	1401 Economic Theory	en_US
utslib.for	1402 Applied Economics	en_US
utslib.for	1403 Econometrics	en_US
pubs.embargo.period	Not known	en_US
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Faculty of Business
utslib.copyright.status	closed_access
pubs.consider-herdc	false	en_US
pubs.issue	4	en_US
pubs.volume	20	en_US

Abstract:

In this paper, we conduct an empirical study to investigate the directionality of the dependence between the Chinese economy and the Japanese economy. Taking a probabilistic causal approach, we infer the causal dependence among the Japanese economy and the Chinese economy based on observed data. We find evidence that the Chinese growth has both contemporaneous and temporal causal effects on Japanese growth, though the effect is very small. We did not find any evidence that the Japanese growth might have temporal or contemporaneous causal effect on Chinese growth.

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:

http://hdl.handle.net/10453/9937