The framework for estimating coverage in the 2011 Census of England and Wales: Combining dual-system estimation with ratio estimation

Brown, JJ; Sexton, C; Abbott, O; Smith, PA

The framework for estimating coverage in the 2011 Census of England and Wales: Combining dual-system estimation with ratio estimation

Brown, JJ

Sexton, C Abbott, O Smith, PA

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Publication Type:: Journal Article
Citation:: Statistical Journal of the IAOS, 2019, 35 (3), pp. 481 - 499
Issue Date:: 2019-01-01

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Field	Value	Language
dc.contributor.author	Brown, JJ https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7535-2874	en_US
dc.contributor.author	Sexton, C	en_US
dc.contributor.author	Abbott, O	en_US
dc.contributor.author	Smith, PA	en_US
dc.date.issued	2019-01-01	en_US
dc.identifier.citation	Statistical Journal of the IAOS, 2019, 35 (3), pp. 481 - 499	en_US
dc.identifier.issn	1874-7655	en_US
dc.identifier.uri	http://hdl.handle.net/10453/134197
dc.description.abstract	© 2019 - IOS Press and the authors. Dual-system estimation is a well-established approach for estimating an unknown population size from two independent but imperfect counts of the population. In this paper we develop the estimation framework for using a coverage survey and population census as the two sources and combining with ratio estimation to produce a set of population estimates. Adjustments are developed to correct for a failure of the key assumptions of homogeneity and independence that under-pin dual-system estimation using an external count of the number of households. The issue of over-count within the census is also discussed and a bootstrap approach to variance estimation is proposed. A comprehensive set of simulation results are presented to support the decision to implement the framework to estimate the population following the 2011 Census of England and Wales; and the implementation to the estimation of census coverage in 2011 is discussed.	en_US
dc.relation.ispartof	Statistical Journal of the IAOS	en_US
dc.relation.isbasedon	10.3233/SJI-180426	en_US
dc.subject.classification	Economics	en_US
dc.title	The framework for estimating coverage in the 2011 Census of England and Wales: Combining dual-system estimation with ratio estimation	en_US
dc.type	Journal Article
utslib.citation.volume	3	en_US
utslib.citation.volume	35	en_US
utslib.for	0104 Statistics	en_US
pubs.embargo.period	Not known	en_US
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Faculty of Science
pubs.organisational-group	/University of Technology Sydney/Faculty of Science/School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences
utslib.copyright.status	open_access
pubs.issue	3	en_US
pubs.publication-status	Published	en_US
pubs.volume	35	en_US

Abstract:

© 2019 - IOS Press and the authors. Dual-system estimation is a well-established approach for estimating an unknown population size from two independent but imperfect counts of the population. In this paper we develop the estimation framework for using a coverage survey and population census as the two sources and combining with ratio estimation to produce a set of population estimates. Adjustments are developed to correct for a failure of the key assumptions of homogeneity and independence that under-pin dual-system estimation using an external count of the number of households. The issue of over-count within the census is also discussed and a bootstrap approach to variance estimation is proposed. A comprehensive set of simulation results are presented to support the decision to implement the framework to estimate the population following the 2011 Census of England and Wales; and the implementation to the estimation of census coverage in 2011 is discussed.

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http://hdl.handle.net/10453/134197