Estimating the potential evapotranspiration of Bulgaria using a high-resolution regional climate model

Publisher:
SPRINGER WIEN
Publication Type:
Journal Article
Citation:
Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2023, 152, (3-4), pp. 1175-1188
Issue Date:
2023-05-01
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Observations made in situ by land evaporators are a useful data source for monitoring potential evapotranspiration (PET). The National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology of Bulgaria operates the conventional small evaporators, which are sensitive to the site’s environment, local, and geographic factors. Furthermore, there are just a few sources of reliable long-term observational data available across the region. Therefore, developing a regional map or predicting the PET at a specific location both can benefit from using regional climate models. This problem was addressed by simulating the PET using the Hargreaves-Samani (HS) approach with the regional climate model (RegCM4). The RegCM4 with 25-km grid spacing for the area of Bulgaria from 1988 to 2010 was downscaled using ERA-Interim reanalysis. The original HS formula and its calibrated version were evaluated with respect to the Climate Research Unit (CRU). Results indicated that adjusting the radiation coefficient is far more efficient than adjusting the temperature coefficient. In addition, the calibrated HS formula, as compared to the default HS formula, consistently performs better at predicting the PET with respect to the CRU, as shown by a significantly smaller bias and a more accurate representation of the climatological yearly cycle. As a result, the RegCM4 can be used as one of the potential alternatives to create a regional map of PET of Bulgaria utilizing the calibrated version of the HS equation, both in the historical and under different future scenarios.
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